Galaxy Securities: Macro-policies have increased the accumulation of positive factors in bank fundamentals. The china galaxy Securities Research Report said that the macro-policy upgrade has exceeded expectations and supported the growth of bank credit. Bank spreads are still under pressure, but the release of debt cost optimization results is expected to form support. Preventing and resolving the risk orientation in key areas remains unchanged, and the asset quality and risk expectation of banks are expected to benefit. The positive factors in the fundamentals of banking operations have accumulated, and we will continue to be optimistic about the allocation value of the banking sector and maintain the recommended rating. For individual stocks, ICBC, China Construction Bank, Postal Savings Bank, Jiangsu Bank and Changshu Bank are recommended.Huatai Securities: 600 million yuan of movie-watching consumption subsidies help the film to pick up. It is suggested to pay attention to the investment opportunities in the sector. Huatai Securities Research Report said that the National Film Bureau launched the "National Film Consumption Season for the benefit of the people" on December 9, and the "consumption season" will be from December 2024 to February 2025. A total of not less than 600 million yuan of movie-watching consumption subsidies will be invested; On the supply side, movies for the Spring Festival in 2025 are scheduled one after another, including Bears, Gods 2 and Legend of the Condor Heroes, etc., and the head players gather, so the box office for the Spring Festival in 2025 is expected to usher in a strong performance. Looking forward to 2025, both ends of supply and demand are expected to improve, and the fundamental inflection point of the cinema line plate will be pushed upward. It is suggested to pay attention to the investment opportunities in the plate.ADB lowered the growth forecast of developing economies in the Asia-Pacific region to maintain China's economic growth forecast. On December 11th, the Asian Development Bank issued the Asia Development Outlook 2024 (December Edition). According to the report, the development momentum in the Asia-Pacific region is steady, but as US President-elect Trump is about to take office, changes in his trade, finance and immigration policies may inhibit the development of the Asia-Pacific region and aggravate inflation. ADB lowered its growth forecast for developing economies in the Asia-Pacific region from the previous 5.0% to 4.9% in 2024, and from the previous 4.9% to 4.8% in 2025. China's economic growth is expected to remain at 4.8% and 4.5% in 2024 and 2025 respectively, which is the same as before.
Galaxy Securities: The equity market rebounded, and the improved double-low strategy exceeded 9% during the year. According to china galaxy Securities, the last cycle (11.26-12.9) recorded 2.3%, 1.7% and 3.2% respectively (the benchmark for the same period was 2.7%). Since the beginning of this year, the performance of the three types of strategies has been 8.5%, 8.6% and 15.1% respectively (the benchmark for the same period is 6.6%), and the cumulative excess rate of return is 2-9%. In the last cycle, the equity market rebounded and repaired. Wandequan A rose by 4.05%, and CSI convertible bonds followed (2.68%), among which the double-low style (3.25%) rose higher, and the low-price enhancement and low-price large-market strategy slightly underperformed the benchmark, and the double-low improvement strategy continued to dominate.After the strike ended, the delivery of Boeing aircraft dropped to 13 in November. On Tuesday, Boeing reported that it delivered 13 commercial jets in November, less than a quarter of the 56 jets delivered to customers 12 months ago. The number of deliveries in October decreased from 14 in October, when most of the company's aircraft production was still in a state of suspension, and 33,000 factory workers went on strike for seven weeks, which ended on November 5. Boeing shares closed up 4.5% on Tuesday. The aircraft manufacturer said that after weeks of methodical preparations, the company restarted the production of the 737 MAX and loaded the new fuselage into the Renton factory in Seattle.Goldman Sachs: I don't agree that gold can't reach $3,000 under a strong dollar. Goldman Sachs said that we don't agree with the view that the price of gold can't rise to $3,000 per ounce by the end of 2025 when the dollar remains strong for a long time. We predict that gold will reach $3,000 per ounce by the end of 2025, and the reduction of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (rather than the strengthening of the US dollar) is the downside risk of this prediction.
Huatai Securities: 600 million yuan of movie-watching consumption subsidies help the film to pick up. It is suggested to pay attention to the investment opportunities in the sector. Huatai Securities Research Report said that the National Film Bureau launched the "National Film Consumption Season for the benefit of the people" on December 9, and the "consumption season" will be from December 2024 to February 2025. A total of not less than 600 million yuan of movie-watching consumption subsidies will be invested; On the supply side, movies for the Spring Festival in 2025 are scheduled one after another, including Bears, Gods 2 and Legend of the Condor Heroes, etc., and the head players gather, so the box office for the Spring Festival in 2025 is expected to usher in a strong performance. Looking forward to 2025, both ends of supply and demand are expected to improve, and the fundamental inflection point of the cinema line plate will be pushed upward. It is suggested to pay attention to the investment opportunities in the plate.China Huaneng and Huawei signed a strategic cooperation agreement. On December 6th, China Huaneng Group Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as "Huaneng") and Huawei Technologies Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as "Huawei") signed a strategic cooperation agreement. Wen Shugang, Chairman and Party Secretary of Huaneng Group, held talks and witnessed the signing of the contract with Meng Wanzhou, rotating chairman and CFO of Huawei, and jointly unveiled Huaneng-Huawei New Energy joint innovation lab. According to the agreement, the two sides will continue to deepen strategic cooperation in the fields of clean energy cooperation, digital transformation cooperation, the establishment of joint innovation lab, and corporate culture exchange.In addition to the front page content, today's People's Daily's main financial contents include: 1. Steady development of new quality productive forces-China Economic Observation in 2024 ③; 2. About 100 flying rainbow bridges built and under construction in China cross the blue ocean (new economic orientation); 3. VAT invoice data shows that the retail sales of household appliances increased by 74.4% in November. 4. The General Administration of Market Supervision regulates the whole process of business marketing behavior to prevent the waste of take-away catering; 5. China-Europe trains reach 227 cities in 25 countries in Europe, connecting more than 100 cities in 11 Asian countries, sending goods over 11 million TEUs and goods worth over 420 billion US dollars-crossing mountains and seas, and the "steel camel team" adds momentum to the world economy (building the "Belt and Road" and the first site); 6. Continue to play the role of the biggest engine of world economic growth (harmony); 7. Accelerate the arrival of "Digital Wisdom Future" (vertical and horizontal); 8. Continue to expand new consumption scenarios and new formats (everyone talks); 9. What do you think of the "China scenery" in the world economy (current economic question and answer in China)? 10. The two departments will further improve the working mechanism of centralized drug collection and implementation, and encourage the priority use of selected drugs and consumables; 11. Give full play to the role of bidding competition to help the standardized and healthy development of the bidding market (the way of governance); 12. The national economy is progressing steadily (number 2024); 13. Improve the quality and efficiency of life insurance management and do a good job in pension finance; 14. The global robot industry accelerates innovation and development (international perspective). In 2023, the number of newly installed industrial robots in China exceeded half of the world; 15. The active format of the new service consumption market characterized by digital and green is released to "new" vitality (consumption window, promoting the expansion and upgrading of service consumption); 16. Create more abundant new products for the integration of literature and tourism (market stroll); 17. CNCA issued an action plan to improve the quality management system certification of small and micro enterprises, improve product quality and increase quality supply (consumption kaleidoscope).
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide
Strategy guide
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Strategy guide
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